By: Donald V. Watkins
Copyrighted and Published on March 27, 2024
An Editorial Opinion
As a student of political science and independent voter, I am predicting, once again, that Donald Trump will win the November 2024 election for President of the United States. Here is the body of objective evidence that supports my prediction:
Trump is leading Joe Biden in all credible national polls and his lead is greater than the margin of error. If Biden falls behind by10 points or greater, it will be impossible for him to overtake Trump.
The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously placed Trump back on the ballot in Coloroda after he was kicked off the ballot by state officials.
The Supreme Court has agreed to decide whether Trump has presidential immunity for the criminal acts alleged in his New York, Washington, D.C., Atlanta, Georgia, and Miami, Florida criminal indictments. The six conservative justices on the Court seem poised to grant Trump sweeping immunity from criminal prosecution in June.
The New York Court of Appeals reduced Trump’s appeal bond (with accrued interest) from $464 million to $175 million in his civil fraud case, with no legal justification for doing so. This move signals that the judges on the that court believe Trump will likely win the election.
In an unprecedented move, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved a merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and Digital World Acquisition Corp. in February 2024, despite the fact that Trump had already found liable for civil fraud by a New York state court judge and was facing criminal prosecutions on 88 felonies in four different jurisdictions. This approval was a substantial departure from the Commission’s anti-fraud regulations and was made for the exclusive benefit of Trump, who owns 60% of the shares in the merger and publicly traded company. The merger increased Trump’s net worth to $6 billion on paper and makes him one of the 500 richest people in the world.
Various federal courts have placed Special Counsel Jack Smith’s criminal case in Washington on an indefinite hold.
U.S. District Court Judge Aileen Cannon has placed Special Counsel Jack Smith’s criminal case in Miami on an indefinite hold.
The Georgia Court of Appeals in Atlanta has placed Trump’s RICO criminal case on an indefinite hold and is poised to remove District Attorney Fani Willis from the case.
Every voter law that was approved by Republican-controlled state legislatures around the nation for the purpose of suppressing the black and Hispanic vote is in full force and effect for the November 2024 election.
Joe Biden’s cognitive and physical abilities continue to diminish daily. However, Democrats refuse to replace him as their presidential nominee. Even if Biden is physically and mentally able to last until November, he will likely have the energy and political effectiveness of a mannequin.
Today, the only thing that can stop Donald Trump from becoming the next president of the United States is divine intervention. Trump is attempting to cover this contingency by partnering with singer Lee Greenwood to peddle "God Bless the USA" Bibles for $60 each.
In August 2015, I predicted Trump's 2016 election victory and in September 2020, I predicted Trump's defeat and refusal to leave office. My predictions are based upon political science and objective evidence.
This OpEd article is NOT an endorsement of Donald Trump. This is merely a political analysis of the race for the White House, as it stands today.