• Donald V. Watkins

Michael Moore: No Democrat Will Defeat Trump in 2020

By Donald V. Watkins

©Copyrighted and Published on July 27, 2019


I have been an independent voter since 2001. I support political candidates based upon their stand on issues of importance to me, and not on the basis of personality or party loyalty. I am a fiscal conservative and social moderate. I am also a student of world history and American political science.


On June 8, 2019, I published an article in which I predicted that President Donald Trump will win re-election in 2020. All of the objective evidence regarding the American political scene supports this prediction.


On Thursday, liberal documentary filmmaker Michael Moore warned Democrats that picking a “professional politician” as their nominee will guarantee four more years of Donald Trump. I agree.


“We have to have a beloved American running, not a professional politician, “ said Moore. “You’ve got to have somebody who inspires the base. The base, here, of the Democratic Party, are women, people of color, and young adults between 18-35. That’s 70 percent of who’s going to vote next year.” I agree.


Moore, who won an Oscar for his 2002 documentary “Bowling for Columbine,” explained that Democrats need a candidate that voters will be "excited" about, and who invokes “that feeling” people had for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. I agree.


Moore said, “I love Joe Biden…, but we gotta win.” He called picking the “safest candidate” a “huge mistake.” Instead, the Democrats need their "version" of Donald Trump. Again, I agree.


Donald Trump a “street fighter,” said Moore. “We need a street fighter. That’s the only way you’re going to defeat him, “ Moore declared. “You’re going up against a bully.”

Again, Moore is right.


None of the 23 Democrats who are running for President is a “street fighter.” None of them gives voters the “excited” feeling that would cause them to stand in long lines to cast their votes for the Democratic nominee. The top four candidates in the crowded field of 23 Democratic candidates are “professional politicians.”


I gave up on all of the Democratic candidates earlier this month after President Trump attacked the “Squad,” who are four female members of the United States Congress. They are also women of color.


Referring to these Congresswomen, Trump tweeted:


“So interesting to see 'Progressive' Democrat Congresswomen, who originally came from countries whose governments are a complete and total catastrophe, the worst, most corrupt and inept anywhere in the world (if they even have a functioning government at all), now loudly and viciously telling the people of the United States, the greatest and most powerful Nation on earth, how our government is to be run. Why don’t they go back and help fix the totally broken and crime infested places from which they came? Then come back and show us how it is done. These places need your help badly, you can’t leave fast enough. I’m sure that Nancy Pelosi would be very happy to quickly work out free travel arrangements!”


This tweet was plainly racist and derogatory. It inspired chants of “send them back” at Trump campaign rallies. It also signaled a fundamental change in the immigration debate from a theme of “we just want them to enter legally” to “send [American citizens of color] back" where they came from.


Regardless of any political views expressed by the “Squad,” they are Americans. Three of these Congresswomen were born in America. As a circumstance of their birth, America is the "corrupt and inept" and "totally broken and crime infested place" Trump references in his tweet.


The fourth Congresswoman referenced in Trump's tweet is a naturalized American who fulfilled the citizenship requirements established by Congress in the Immigration and Nationality Act. She enjoys the same citizenship status as Donald Trump's grandparents (Frederick and Elizabeth Trump from Bavaria), his mother (Mary Anne MacCloud Trump from Scotland), his first wife (Ivanka Trump from Czechoslovakia), and his third and current wife, First Lady Melania Trump.


Some would argue that the First Lady, who was a nude model from Yugoslavia before she met and married President Trump, is an immigrant from a poor, war-torn, “shithole” country (by Trump's definition) in Eastern Europe. The same is true for Melania Trump's parents, who gained American citizenship through the very “chain migration” Donald Trump condemned as a presidential candidate. Yet, no one is chanting that we should “send them back” to Yugoslavia (now known as Slovenia).


No Democrat candidate running for president had the courage to stand up to Donald Trump and "kick his ass" for bullying these four American Congresswomen, who fearlessly fought back themselves. Trump, who will not fight real thugs like Russian President Vladimir Putin or North Korean dictator Kim Jung Un, has relished in his nasty, un-American “street fight” with these Congresswomen of color during the past two weeks.


The four Congresswomen of color committed the “crime,” of "loudly and viciously telling the people of the United States .... how our government is to be run." Of course, they were representing the view of their political constituents and simply exercising their First Amendment right to criticize American policy on the detention of undocumented migrants at the Southern border. In Trump's eyes and words, women are only objects for sexual gratification, or they are service workers. He has no respect for women, regardless of their color or political party affiliation.


Democratic frontrunner Joe Biden, who once boasted that he would "beat the hell out of" President Donald Trump over his crude comments about women if they were in high school, never opened his mouth in defense of the “Squad’s” right to freedom of speech. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris were missing in action, as well. Senator Bernie Sanders was off on some esoteric socialist rant.


My 2015 Prediction of a Trump Victory Was Right


Six weeks after Donald Trump announced his candidacy for President of the United States on June 16, 2015, I published an article predicting that he would defeat his 15 Republican Primary rivals and win the Presidency in November 2016. In the article, I made the following observations that hold true today:


"The Republican billionaire crowd has decided that starting with the 2016 election cycle, political surrogates are “out”; rich principals are “in” for the national political offices that matter the most. 


Trump made a direct and strong appeal to what really scares white America – the browning of America. Trump regularly uses campaign rhetoric about illegal immigration of Mexicans, the need to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexican border, and the unwillingness of young black males to work as a way of signaling his willingness to stem the tide on these issues. Trump has shown white Americans that he is their candidate of choice with the backbone to “make America great again…


Unlike the other candidates, Trump does not have to pretend that he believes in “family values.” Trump does not have to kiss babies or act like he loves his cheering crowd of supporters. He just has to be the Donald Trump that America already knows.


The Trump campaign is a reality show in real time on the art of the deal – winning the American presidency. It is being masterfully produced by Trump himself. This show is a hit with Republican voters….


In fact, Trump is already running against Hillary Clinton, a highly intelligent woman with a distinguished track record of public service to America and the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee for president….Trump will likely defeat her too. 


The Trump campaign is a perfect blend of entertainment prowess mixed with passion, intellect and a big dose of business acumen, from a man who has played hardball all of his adult life. Trump knows the art of the deal and his ultimate prize – the American presidency – is within his reach.”


Donald Trump’s Republican base loves him. Many independent voters love him, as well. These voters do not care about Trump’s multitude of personality flaws and demonstrated lack of character because he faithfully advances their political interests and aggressively protects their core values, without flinching or apologizing.

In their view, Trump delivered on his promised tax cuts; he has cracked down on illegal immigration; he has stacked the U.S. Supreme Court and other federal courts with right-wing conservative judges; unemployment is at an all-time low on Trump’s watch; the stock market is at an all-time high during Trump’s presidency; he broke Mexico’s political will on the immigration issue with his threat of tariffs; he is building “The Wall”; he has cleared the way for big American businesses and Wall Street to do pretty much whatever they want to do; he has taken America’s trade imbalance with the Chinese by imposing new tariffs on Chinese imports; he withdrew from the 2015 Paris Agreement on Climate Change; he withdrew from the Iran Nuclear Deal; he withdrew from the UN Arms Trade Treaty; he has protected the NRA from tougher gun control regulations in the face of mass murders in American schools, churches, synagogues, and workplaces; he has deregulated the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s air, ground, and water regulations; he has cracked down on the governments of Cuba and Venezuela; he has proven that CNN and MSNBC cannot “make” or “break” a “strong” conservative president; and he survived Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s attempted coup d'état of his 2-year-old presidency.


The 23 Democratic presidential candidates left in the race are mostly talking to themselves and their narrow band of supporters. They are talking about everything except what really matters to the new “mainstream” voters.


The National Democratic Party, itself, is still a prisoner of the Barack Obama-Joe Biden and Hillary-Bill Clinton factions of the Party. New voices within the Party have been stifled by its old and tired national leadership. What is worse, the Democratic Party takes its most loyal political groups for granted.


None of the Democratic candidates in the race has what it takes to defeat Donald Trump. None of them is a "street fighter." What is more, none of them is listening to the new “mainstream” voters who have been won over by Trump.


In time, Donald Trump will defeat his Republican Primary challenger, former Massachusetts Governor William Weld. Barring divine intervention from God, Trump will go on to defeat the eventual Democratic nominee in the November 2020 presidential election.


PHOTO: Oscar-winning documentary maker Michael Moore predicts that Donald Trump will be re-elected as President of the United States.


© 2020 by Donald V. Watkins, P.C.